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Fight for Poker Rights daily action plan posted by VarianceMonkey @ Sat, 24...

Done!!!

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HM2 most crappy poker software? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Thu, 29 Nov 2012...

I cant believe people talk about HEM2 in a negative way, i didn't purchase it for months because of the bad rep it had. I finally decided to because i wanted NCA. I was so pleased, it runs amazingly...

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HM2 most crappy poker software? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Fri, 30 Nov 2012...

Mitch... thanks for your computer advice. Prinz, I have been experiencing the same lag ever since this week's update to 7635. When I open up the handviewer it lags my computer and all my hands time...

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4 card straight on turn posted by VarianceMonkey @ Thu, 06 Dec 2012 03:37:20...

Villain seems nitty. Preflop,I'd probably 3b villain delinear like QQ+/AK and J7s/54s type stuff. I think QJo type hands will be dominated by villains tight range quite a bit, and put us in a lot of...

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How do u approach min raise pre? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Tue, 11 Dec 2012...

Depends on their range and tendencies. If they fold to 3b alot then 3x 3b them light all day. Some guys utg range is still super tight like 7% but they still minraise... great, now you can setmine and...

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How do u approach min raise pre? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Tue, 11 Dec 2012...

suited aces and esp. suited connectors are pretty poor hands to flat vs a 7% range imo, even if they minraise (unless your are deeper)if they're tight you don't even have to (or can) go out of your way...

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Is this value bet too thin on the river?? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Wed, 19...

Easy 3 streets of value, imo. You get called by all Ax that villain gets here with. Also, BVB, people don't like to fold top-pair, even to 3brls. I think the worst value hand I would 3brl is AQ.

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AK oop posted by VarianceMonkey @ Wed, 19 Dec 2012 18:58:04 +0000

Excellent post Itsatrap. What do you think about 3betting a bit larger since we are OOP. Perhaps just potting it to $1.00 or $1.10.

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Is this value bet too thin on the river?? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Thu, 20...

At first I thought easy 3 streets of value too, maybe I'm being results oriented and over thinking the hand because I ran into A9!Thanks for your post, much appreciated!A good handreading exercise is...

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25NL6M: Facing donkbet on turn, awkard spot! posted by VarianceMonkey @ Sat,...

The K on turn should not help villain's range at all. I would min-raise turn to get value from villain's draws and worse pairs and fold if villain re-raises. As played, river is probably a fold. I'd...

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turned straight gets raised (100nl) posted by VarianceMonkey @ Fri, 08 Feb...

Assuming you have a decent sample size on villain, he seems pretty straightforward postflop based on his stats. I remove KK from his range because I expect a preflop 3bet. I remove K9s, 99 and 66 from...

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Finding Leaks in my game from other Regs posted by VarianceMonkey @ Fri, 08...

OP, would you mind posting a screenshot of your stats here? Preflop opening ranges, 3bet stats, SD stats, cbets, etc.

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.5/1 KK facing HEAT posted by VarianceMonkey @ Thu, 14 Feb 2013 01:05:29 +0000

Call ATW and make him show you Seven-Deuce. J/k Jay. I'd call flop since we have position and get more info from betsizing, timing tells, w/e OTT. Turn is a fold. We don't beat any value hands, and...

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Flopped Nut Flush vs TAG - 100nl posted by VarianceMonkey @ Fri, 22 Feb 2013...

Within last 5 minutes, villain 3bet my MP from the BB with 65s and 2barrelled J88KQ, and gave up on river. I slowplayed AA.Winning Poker Network - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 playersHand converted by...

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Flopped Nut Flush vs TAG - 100nl posted by VarianceMonkey @ Fri, 22 Feb 2013...

Thank you for your replies. FaceMyAlterEgo, raising the flop is an interesting idea. I was actually considering that in-game as well. I have the A, though. Does that change your flop decision at all?

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Flopped Nut Flush vs TAG - 100nl posted by VarianceMonkey @ Sat, 23 Feb 2013...

I think I would probably raise A 2 here. A T seems close so I think having the T might just make the difference.Are you talking about the flop? You'd raise A2 because villain can have more Tx...

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Flopped Nut Flush vs TAG - 100nl posted by VarianceMonkey @ Tue, 26 Feb 2013...

Thx. U r definitely right on with the AA hand where I got my read. I should have jammed river for value. I did figure there was future value in figuring out what villain was 3betting my MP with, though.

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Bluff raise river? (100NL) posted by VarianceMonkey @ Wed, 27 Feb 2013...

Villain stats (147 hands):25/21 3b 10.5%, cbet flop 67%, cbet turn 40%wtsd: 35%, w$sd: 50%, wwsf: 39%I play 28/23 3b 7.3% (57k hands)wtsd: 26%, w$sd: 53%, wwsf: 48%Winning Poker Network - $1 NL (6 max)...

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Bluff raise river? (100NL) posted by VarianceMonkey @ Wed, 27 Feb 2013...

I also think (from experience) that you're greatly overestimating peoples tendency to fold A8s here.LOL, you are probably right. If villain doesn't fold A8s, then it's probably a slightly -EV shove....

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[100NL] Linecheck JJ on 67J2hhh 3bpot posted by VarianceMonkey @ Sun, 17 Mar...

Preflop: I think is fine. I prefer a bit larger 3bet to 8bb from OOP, but that's my preference, and I still get plenty of action in my games.Flop: I don't like a slow play, I'd rather click it back to...

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opponent cold calling ranges posted by VarianceMonkey @ Thu, 18 Apr 2013...

This is a very vague question? Can you be more specific about certain spots? Maybe post hand histories in the forum.If I know my opponent's cold calling range is only AQ-AK, 22-AA, that's good...

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Do you stack off here? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Fri, 07 Jun 2013 20:12:50...

I fist pump stack off. Expect to see any 9,T,J,Q,K call your shove, and u still have outs if villain shows up near the top of his range.

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Over bet jam river 2.2x posted by VarianceMonkey @ Sat, 14 Jun 2014 04:18:47...

I like your river overbet vs a recreational player. I think vs a reg, I'd bet like 75% pot. I assume your river bet-call range is something like sets or better (some set combos that decided to slowplay...

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What to do with QQ against tight unknown? posted by VarianceMonkey @ Sat, 07...

I'd call flop and fold if he makes a big bet on the turn. In my player pool, I don't expect tight players to make sick bluffs for their whole stack against a strong range. If turn is A or K, I'd be...

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So strange or maybe not you decide!! posted by VarianceMonkey @ Sat, 07 Feb...

I think villain could have a high value frequency on this river depending on how often he 3bets suited hands like 97s type stuff. He can have flushes, sets, and possibly 45 for a completed OESD. If he...

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